Likelihood

= 7-SP5 = =Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates and unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.=

Fourth Grade Fifth Grade Sixth Grade
 * ACOS 2009 Correlation **
 * 16 - Determine the outcomes of simple events as likely, unlikely, certain, equally likely, or impossible.
 * 15 - Use fractions to represent the probability of events that are neither certain nor impossible.
 * 15.2 - Identifying the probability of an event that is certain as 1 or impossible as 0.
 * 11 - Determine the probability of a simple event by expressing the probability as a ratio, percent, or decimal.


 * CMP2 Correlation **
 * **Book** ||= **Investigation** || **Objective** ||
 * What Do You Expect ||= 1ACE || 7-SP5 ||
 * How Likely Is It? ||= 1 || 7-SP5 ||


 * Resources **

From [|Harding Math Specialist]
 * **7.SP.5 -** **Black & White -** [] - The Black & White task listed on this page requires a knowledge of fractions and simple probability. These tasks also have sample student work, teacher reflections, and other resources.

This has moved up from 4th grade, so students should have seen this before. This is rather intuitive and easy to teach.
 * My Humble Opinion **